Primera B · 26 July 2026AI PICK

D. Puerto MonttvsAntofagasta

3 - 2

Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 55.5%
Market said: 48.8%
Edge: +6.7 pts
Best odds: 2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +6.7%

Our model55.5%

The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

D. Puerto Montt

Attack33

Defence65

Form48

Antofagasta

Attack64

Defence75

Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +8.5%Miss

Our model73.0%

The market64.5%

Edge: +8.5
Odds: 1.55

Draw No Bet

Antofagasta (DNB)

Miss

Our model56.1%

The market57.1%

Edge: -1.0
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.7%Correct

Our model55.5%

The market48.8%

Edge: +6.7
Odds: 2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Correct

Our model54.2%

The market54.1%

Edge: +0.1
Odds: 1.85

Match Winner

Antofagasta Win

Edge +13.8%Miss

Our model49.5%

The market35.7%

Edge: +13.8
Odds: 2.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss

Our model9.9%

The market11.4%

Edge: -1.5
Odds: 8.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

9.9%

1-1

12.4%

1-2

9.9%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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