Primera B badgePrimera B · 11 August 2026AI PICK

D. Puerto Montt badgeD. Puerto MonttvsUnion Espanola badgeUnion Espanola

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+9.0 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +9.0%
Our model54.5%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

D. Puerto Montt badge

D. Puerto Montt

Attack44
Defence61
Form56
Union Espanola badge

Union Espanola

Attack48
Defence45
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Union Espanola (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.91

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model53.6%
The market73.5%
Edge
-19.9
Odds
1.36

Match Winner

Union Espanola Win

Correct
Our model31.6%
The market35.7%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
2.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

13.5%

2-1

8.4%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.