Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Danubio badgeDanubiovsAlbion FC badgeAlbion FC

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+10.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +10.3%
Our model60.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Danubio badge

Danubio

Attack45
Defence42
Form40
Albion FC badge

Albion FC

Attack72
Defence52
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.3%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.8%Miss
Our model57.4%
The market42.6%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
2.35

Draw No Bet

Danubio (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Danubio Win

Our model31.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-18.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.6%
The market9.2%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.6% · actual

1-2

9.7%

1-1

9.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.