Danubiovs
Juventud
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.1%
- Market said
- 43.7%
- Edge
- +9.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.19
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.19
The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Danubio
Juventud
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.50
Draw No Bet
Juventud (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.4
- Odds
- 2.19
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
Juventud Win
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 2.52
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.4%
1-1
13.2% · actual
0-1
8.2%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.