Primera División badgePrimera División · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Danubio badgeDanubiovsPenarol badgePenarol

0 - 4
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
61.2%
Markets called
4 of 5 right
Final score
0 - 4

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge -0.6%
Our model61.2%
The market61.8%

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Danubio badge

Danubio

Attack22
Defence45
Form20
Penarol badge

Penarol

Attack67
Defence86
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model87.6%
The market87.0%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.15

Draw No Bet

Penarol (DNB)

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model82.8%
The market70.4%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.42

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model61.2%
The market61.8%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Penarol Win

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market56.2%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.64

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.4%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.4%

0-2

14.2%

0-0

12.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.