DC Unitedvs
Columbus Crew
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.8%
- Market said
- 57.3%
- Edge
- +2.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
DC United
Columbus Crew
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 1.44
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.5
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 1.53
Draw No Bet
DC United (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.2
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
DC United Win
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 2.35
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.16
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.6% · actual
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.