Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 19 August 2026AI PICK

DC United badgeDC UnitedvsNew England Revolution badgeNew England Revolution

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
57.0%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +0.8%
Our model57.8%
The market57.0%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

DC United badge

DC United

Attack57
Defence46
Form44
New England Revolution badge

New England Revolution

Attack44
Defence57
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model70.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

DC United (DNB)

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model58.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market57.0%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

DC United Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market46.5%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

10.6%

2-0

6.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.