De Graafschapvs
Jong AZ
2 - 5Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 60.0%
- Markets called
- 5 of 5 right
- Final score
- 2 - 5
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.33
MediumEdge -14.2%
Our model60.0%
The market74.2%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
De Graafschap
Attack69
Defence21
Form33
Jong AZ
Attack100
Defence73
Form76
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model75.3%
The market82.0%
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Jong AZ (DNB)
Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model60.0%
The market74.2%
- Edge
- -14.2
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model50.0%
The market72.8%
- Edge
- -22.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Match Winner
Jong AZ Win
Edge +22.7%Correct
Our model49.4%
The market26.7%
- Edge
- +22.7
- Odds
- 3.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.