UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 15 July 2026AI PICK

Dečić badgeDečićvsFK Liepaja badgeFK Liepaja

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.0%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +3.4%
Our model58.0%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dečić badge

Dečić

Attack56
Defence75
Form44
FK Liepaja badge

FK Liepaja

Attack42
Defence47
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +7.5%
Our model74.2%
The market66.7%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Dečić (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model55.9%
The market48.8%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Dečić Win

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model41.8%
The market40.0%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

11.9%

2-0

7.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.