Liga Profesional Argentina badgeLiga Profesional Argentina · 29 July 2026AI PICK

Defensa Y Justicia badgeDefensa Y JusticiavsDeportivo Riestra badgeDeportivo Riestra

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
68.8%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

MediumEdge +0.6%
Our model69.4%
The market68.8%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Defensa Y Justicia badge

Defensa Y Justicia

Attack58
Defence31
Form33
Deportivo Riestra badge

Deportivo Riestra

Attack24
Defence43
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.6%Close
Our model69.4%
The market68.8%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model61.2%
The market61.2%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Defensa Y Justicia (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Defensa Y Justicia Win

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model49.5%
The market46.5%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model20.1%
The market23.1%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
4.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.1%

0-0

17.9%

2-0

14.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.