Primera División - Apertura · 10 May 2026AI PICK
Defensor Sportingvs
Juventud
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.1%
- Market said
- 58.8%
- Edge
- +4.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.3
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
Juventud Win
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Juventud (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.22
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.