Primera División badgePrimera División · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Defensor Sporting badgeDefensor SportingvsLiverpool Montevideo badgeLiverpool Montevideo

0 - 4
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
57.8%
Markets called
4 of 5 right
Final score
0 - 4

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge -5.0%
Our model57.8%
The market62.8%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Defensor Sporting badge

Defensor Sporting

Attack33
Defence51
Form31
Liverpool Montevideo badge

Liverpool Montevideo

Attack45
Defence58
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model63.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
1.44

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model57.8%
The market62.8%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Liverpool Montevideo (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market55.7%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Liverpool Montevideo Win

Correct
Our model33.8%
The market39.2%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model13.1%
The market15.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.1%

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.