Serie D badgeSerie D · 25 May 2026AI PICK

Democrata GV badgeDemocrata GVvsPorto BA badgePorto BA

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.4%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +2.7%
Our model64.4%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Democrata GV badge

Democrata GV

Attack30
Defence57
Form38
Porto BA badge

Porto BA

Attack41
Defence33
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model64.4%
The market61.7%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.62

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.3%Miss
Our model63.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Democrata GV Win

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market61.7%
Edge
-7.5
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Democrata GV (DNB)

Correct
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.1%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

20.1%

0-0

18.3%

1-0

16.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.