Serie D badgeSerie D · 31 May 2026AI PICK

Democrata GV badgeDemocrata GVvsRio Branco ES badgeRio Branco ES

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +2.1%
Our model67.5%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Democrata GV badge

Democrata GV

Attack35
Defence53
Form38
Rio Branco ES badge

Rio Branco ES

Attack41
Defence47
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model67.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model61.5%
The market57.8%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Democrata GV Win

Edge +13.1%Correct
Our model57.5%
The market44.4%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Democrata GV (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.9%
The market14.7%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.9%

1-0

16.9%

0-0

14.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.