Serie D badgeSerie D · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Democrata GV badgeDemocrata GVvsVitória ES badgeVitória ES

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
50.1%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+7.5 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

LowEdge +7.5%
Our model50.1%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 7.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Democrata GV badge

Democrata GV

Attack22
Defence68
Form39
Vitória ES badge

Vitória ES

Attack95
Defence80
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Vitória ES (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.5%Close
Our model50.1%
The market42.6%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model45.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Vitória ES Win

Miss
Our model30.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-19.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.