Copa Chile badgeCopa Chile · 5 July 2026AI PICK

Deportes Santa Cruz badgeDeportes Santa CruzvsA. Italiano badgeA. Italiano

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

LowEdge +3.1%
Our model53.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportes Santa Cruz badge

Deportes Santa Cruz

Attack42
Defence45
Form31
A. Italiano badge

A. Italiano

Attack49
Defence54
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model71.6%
The market76.9%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

A. Italiano (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

A. Italiano Win

Miss
Our model39.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

13.1%

2-1

8.1% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.