CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 7 May 2026AI PICK

Deportes Tolima badgeDeportes TolimavsClub Nacional badgeClub Nacional

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.3%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+12.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +12.0%
Our model63.3%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportes Tolima badge

Deportes Tolima

Attack65
Defence61
Form51
Club Nacional badge

Club Nacional

Attack72
Defence36
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.0%Miss
Our model63.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.2%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market43.5%
Edge
+18.2
Odds
2.30

Match Winner

Deportes Tolima Win

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model55.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Deportes Tolima (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.