Primera A · 4 August 2026AI PICK
Deportes Tolimavs
Independiente Medellin
2 - 3Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 48.5%
- Edge
- +5.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.06
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.06
The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Draw No Bet
Deportes Tolima (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.3
- Odds
- 2.06
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 1.84
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -30.3
- Odds
- 1.22
Match Winner
Deportes Tolima Win
- Edge
- -17.0
- Odds
- 1.97
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.41
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.