Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 28 July 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Cuenca badgeDeportivo CuencavsEmelec badgeEmelec

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge +2.7%
Our model69.4%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Cuenca badge

Deportivo Cuenca

Attack31
Defence41
Form38
Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack40
Defence48
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +13.1%Miss
Our model73.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.7%Close
Our model69.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model35.0%
The market33.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model21.8%
The market25.1%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
3.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

21.8%

0-1

16.5%

1-1

14.4%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.