Primera División badgePrimera División · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Garcilaso badgeDeportivo GarcilasovsAlianza Atletico badgeAlianza Atletico

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
61.1%
Markets called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge -0.6%
Our model61.1%
The market61.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Garcilaso badge

Deportivo Garcilaso

Attack34
Defence53
Form38
Alianza Atletico badge

Alianza Atletico

Attack44
Defence64
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model61.1%
The market61.7%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model52.4%
The market45.5%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Deportivo Garcilaso Win

Correct
Our model46.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.3%
The market13.3%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.3%

1-0

13.1%

1-1

11.3%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.