Primera División badgePrimera División · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Garcilaso badgeDeportivo GarcilasovsAtletico Grau badgeAtletico Grau

4 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
48.2%
Edge
+6.4 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87

LowEdge +6.4%
Our model54.6%
The market48.2%

The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Garcilaso badge

Deportivo Garcilaso

Attack60
Defence100
Form71
Atletico Grau badge

Atletico Grau

Attack42
Defence80
Form59

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.4%
The market83.3%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)

Edge +1.6%Correct
Our model69.6%
The market68.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.47

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.4%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market48.2%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
1.87

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market44.6%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.98

Match Winner

Deportivo Garcilaso Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market52.9%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.89

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

8.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.