Primera División badgePrimera División · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Garcilaso badgeDeportivo GarcilasovsCusco badgeCusco

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.9%
Edge
+7.8 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

LowEdge +7.8%
Our model53.7%
The market45.9%

The market underrated this by 7.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Garcilaso badge

Deportivo Garcilaso

Attack55
Defence100
Form71
Cusco badge

Cusco

Attack58
Defence43
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model74.0%
The market72.5%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.38

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.8%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market45.9%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market53.7%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Cusco (DNB)

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model51.8%
The market47.8%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
2.09

Match Winner

Cusco Win

Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model38.3%
The market34.7%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

12.2%

1-2

8.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.