Primera División badgePrimera División · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Garcilaso badgeDeportivo GarcilasovsUCV Moquegua badgeUCV Moquegua

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
50.1%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

LowEdge +4.4%
Our model54.5%
The market50.1%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Garcilaso badge

Deportivo Garcilaso

Attack54
Defence71
Form62
UCV Moquegua badge

UCV Moquegua

Attack43
Defence66
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market87.7%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.4%Close
Our model54.5%
The market50.1%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.6%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market49.0%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Deportivo Garcilaso Win

Correct
Our model51.7%
The market64.5%
Edge
-12.8
Odds
1.55

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

1-0

9.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.