La Liga badgeLa Liga · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo La Coruna badgeDeportivo La CorunavsValencia badgeValencia

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
53.4%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

LowEdge +0.6%
Our model54.0%
The market53.4%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo La Coruna badge

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack49
Defence93
Form52
Valencia badge

Valencia

Attack40
Defence51
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model74.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Deportivo La Coruna (DNB)

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model62.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.6%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market53.4%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market60.2%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
1.65

Match Winner

Deportivo La Coruna Win

Edge +6.2%Correct
Our model43.2%
The market37.0%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.3%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

11.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.