Primera División badgePrimera División · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo La Guaira badgeDeportivo La GuairavsEstudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FC

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
49.0%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
2.04

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.04

LowEdge +5.0%
Our model54.0%
The market49.0%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo La Guaira badge

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack67
Defence41
Form44
Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack37
Defence49
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model80.9%
The market97.1%
Edge
-16.2
Odds
1.03

Draw No Bet

Deportivo La Guaira (DNB)

Miss
Our model73.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
-10.3
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market49.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.04

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Deportivo La Guaira Win

Miss
Our model51.6%
The market69.9%
Edge
-18.3
Odds
1.43

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model10.9%
The market12.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.9%

1-1

12.3%

1-0

10.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.