CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 21 May 2026AI PICK

Deportivo La Guaira badgeDeportivo La GuairavsIndepend. Rivadavia badgeIndepend. Rivadavia

2 - 4
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
62.3%
Markets called
1 of 2 right
Final score
2 - 4

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge -3.1%
Our model62.3%
The market65.4%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo La Guaira badge

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack36
Defence69
Form44
Independ. Rivadavia badge

Independ. Rivadavia

Attack85
Defence59
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model62.3%
The market65.4%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.0%Correct
Our model51.5%
The market45.5%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Independ. Rivadavia Win

Our model50.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Independ. Rivadavia (DNB)

Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model13.1%
The market11.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.1%

0-2

11.0%

1-2

9.9%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.