Primera División badgePrimera División · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Deportivo La Guaira badgeDeportivo La GuairavsPortuguesa FC badgePortuguesa FC

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.3%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +5.6%
Our model67.3%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo La Guaira badge

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack37
Defence94
Form58
Portuguesa FC badge

Portuguesa FC

Attack60
Defence68
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model67.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Deportivo La Guaira (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Deportivo La Guaira Win

Our model36.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-13.3
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model14.2%
The market12.3%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
8.12

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.2%

1-1

10.5% · actual

1-0

10.1%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.