Primera División badgePrimera División · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo La Guaira badgeDeportivo La GuairavsZamora FC badgeZamora FC

6 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +8.2%
Our model53.7%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo La Guaira badge

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack43
Defence45
Form40
Zamora FC badge

Zamora FC

Attack60
Defence70
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +30.1%
Our model72.1%
The market42.0%
Edge
+30.1
Odds
2.38

Draw No Bet

Zamora FC (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.8%Correct
Our model52.8%
The market42.0%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.38

Match Winner

Zamora FC Win

Edge +24.1%Miss
Our model42.3%
The market18.2%
Edge
+24.1
Odds
5.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

0-1

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.