Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Lara badgeDeportivo LaravsPuerto Cabello II badgePuerto Cabello II

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
51.8%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
1.93

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.93

MediumEdge +7.6%
Our model59.4%
The market51.8%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Lara badge

Deportivo Lara

Attack70
Defence58
Form60
Puerto Cabello II badge

Puerto Cabello II

Attack51
Defence49
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.2%
The market97.1%
Edge
-21.9
Odds
1.03

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Lara (DNB)

Correct
Our model66.6%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market51.8%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.93

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market47.8%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.09

Match Winner

Deportivo Lara Win

Correct
Our model49.4%
The market70.4%
Edge
-21.0
Odds
1.42

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

11.4%

2-0

7.4%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.