Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Maldonado badgeDeportivo MaldonadovsAlbion FC badgeAlbion FC

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+24.9 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

MediumEdge +24.9%
Our model67.5%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 24.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Maldonado badge

Deportivo Maldonado

Attack67
Defence54
Form64
Albion FC badge

Albion FC

Attack68
Defence59
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.9%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market42.6%
Edge
+24.9
Odds
2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.8%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Maldonado (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Deportivo Maldonado Win

Miss
Our model47.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.