Primera División · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Deportivo Maldonadovs
Penarol
0 - 0Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +14.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.30
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30
The market underrated this by 14.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.56
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.0
- Odds
- 2.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 2.20
Match Winner
Penarol Win
- Edge
- -3.7
- Odds
- 1.93
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.