Primera División badgePrimera División · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Maldonado badgeDeportivo MaldonadovsWanderers badgeWanderers

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
52.3%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +2.9%
Our model55.2%
The market52.3%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Maldonado badge

Deportivo Maldonado

Attack59
Defence62
Form53
Wanderers badge

Wanderers

Attack62
Defence48
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model67.9%
The market82.6%
Edge
-14.7
Odds
1.21

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Maldonado (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market52.3%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Close
Our model54.6%
The market46.1%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.06

Match Winner

Deportivo Maldonado Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market51.8%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.93

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

12.7%

1-2

8.4%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.