Copa Uruguay badgeCopa Uruguay · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Maldonado badgeDeportivo MaldonadovsWanderers badgeWanderers

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.1%
Market said
49.4%
Edge
+8.7 pts
Best odds
1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.88

MediumEdge +8.7%
Our model58.1%
The market49.4%

The market underrated this by 8.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Maldonado badge

Deportivo Maldonado

Attack51
Defence100
Form64
Wanderers badge

Wanderers

Attack47
Defence63
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model69.3%
The market87.7%
Edge
-18.4
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Maldonado (DNB)

Correct
Our model58.7%
The market71.4%
Edge
-12.7
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model58.1%
The market49.4%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.88

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.0%Correct
Our model54.1%
The market47.1%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
2.02

Match Winner

Deportivo Maldonado Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market57.5%
Edge
-13.9
Odds
1.74

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

1-2

7.5%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.