Primera A badgePrimera A · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Pasto badgeDeportivo PastovsÁguilas Doradas badgeÁguilas Doradas

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
43.3%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

LowEdge +10.5%
Our model53.8%
The market43.3%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Pasto badge

Deportivo Pasto

Attack54
Defence40
Form38
Águilas Doradas badge

Águilas Doradas

Attack50
Defence48
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.8%
The market84.7%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Pasto (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market43.3%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market48.1%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Deportivo Pasto Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
-12.0
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.