Deportivo Pastovs
Bogota FC
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 46.5%
- Edge
- +9.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Deportivo Pasto
Bogota FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.4
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
Deportivo Pasto (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.3
- Odds
- 2.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -12.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Deportivo Pasto Win
- Edge
- -35.2
- Odds
- 1.33
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.78
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.