Copa Colombia badgeCopa Colombia · 22 July 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Pasto badgeDeportivo PastovsBogota FC badgeBogota FC

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +9.3%
Our model55.8%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Pasto badge

Deportivo Pasto

Attack57
Defence44
Form47
Bogota FC badge

Bogota FC

Attack34
Defence60
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model74.9%
The market89.3%
Edge
-14.4
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Pasto (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Miss
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market46.5%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model45.2%
The market57.8%
Edge
-12.6
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Deportivo Pasto Win

Miss
Our model40.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
-35.2
Odds
1.33

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.2%
The market12.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

1-1

12.9%

2-0

10.8%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.