Primera A · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Deportivo PastovsDeportes Tolima

0 - 2

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 67.5%
Market said: 45.5%
Edge: +22.0 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +22.0%

Our model67.5%

The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 22.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Pasto

Attack64

Defence47

Form56

Deportes Tolima

Attack66

Defence72

Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.0%Close

Our model67.5%

The market45.5%

Edge: +22.0
Odds: 2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.4%Miss

Our model65.8%

The market52.4%

Edge: +13.4
Odds: 1.91

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Pasto (DNB)

Miss

Our model51.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -6.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Deportivo Pasto Win

Edge +5.8%Miss

Our model48.4%

The market42.6%

Edge: +5.8
Odds: 2.35

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%

Our model8.3%

The market7.2%

Edge: +1.1
Odds: 13.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

7.9%

1-2

7.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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