Primera A badgePrimera A · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Pereira badgeDeportivo PereiravsIndependiente Medellin badgeIndependiente Medellin

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Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
53.4%
Edge
+7.8 pts
Best odds
1.81

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.81

MediumEdge +7.8%
Our model61.2%
The market53.4%

The market underrated this by 7.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Pereira badge

Deportivo Pereira

Attack23
Defence83
Form39
Independiente Medellin badge

Independiente Medellin

Attack60
Defence50
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market86.2%
Edge
-12.7
Odds
1.16

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.8%Close
Our model61.2%
The market53.4%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
1.81

Draw No Bet

Independiente Medellin (DNB)

Correct
Our model58.2%
The market73.0%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.37

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market52.0%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Independiente Medellin Win

Correct
Our model36.8%
The market57.8%
Edge
-21.0
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model17.0%
The market19.5%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

17.0%

0-2

13.8%

0-0

13.7%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.