Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Recoleta badgeDeportivo RecoletavsClub Guarani badgeClub Guarani

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.0%
Market said
32.3%
Edge
+33.7 pts
Best odds
3.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Deportivo Recoleta Win

Match Winner · best price 3.10

MediumEdge +33.7%
Our model66.0%
The market32.3%

The market underrated this by 33.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Recoleta badge

Deportivo Recoleta

Attack66
Defence40
Form36
Club Guarani badge

Club Guarani

Attack36
Defence76
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Deportivo Recoleta Win

Edge +33.7%Correct
Our model66.0%
The market32.3%
Edge
+33.7
Odds
3.10

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Recoleta (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model50.4%
The market48.1%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
2.08

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.7%

2-0

10.9%

2-1

9.8% · actual

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.