Division Profesional - Clausura badgeDivision Profesional - Clausura · 3 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Recoleta badgeDeportivo RecoletavsNacional Asuncion badgeNacional Asuncion

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
45.9%
Edge
+7.9 pts
Best odds
2.18

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.18

LowEdge +7.9%
Our model53.8%
The market45.9%

The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Recoleta badge

Deportivo Recoleta

Attack67
Defence39
Form40
Nacional Asuncion badge

Nacional Asuncion

Attack53
Defence61
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +17.3%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market57.5%
Edge
+17.3
Odds
1.74

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market45.9%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
2.18

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Recoleta (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Deportivo Recoleta Win

Edge +16.4%Correct
Our model43.3%
The market26.9%
Edge
+16.4
Odds
3.72

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

12.7%

2-0

8.0%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.