CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5 May 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Riestra badgeDeportivo RiestravsGremio badgeGremio

0 - 3
Close

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
85.7%
Market said
71.4%
Edge
+14.3 pts
Best odds
1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

High confidenceEdge +14.3%
Our model85.7%
The market71.4%

The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Riestra badge

Deportivo Riestra

Attack21
Defence64
Form29
Gremio badge

Gremio

Attack50
Defence70
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.3%Close
Our model85.7%
The market71.4%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
1.40

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model69.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Gremio (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Gremio Win

Correct
Our model39.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.