Primera División · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Deportivo SaprissavsCS Herediano

2 - 1

Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 69.7%
Market said: 51.5%
Edge: +18.2 pts
Best odds: 1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

MediumEdge +18.2%

Our model69.7%

The market51.5%

The market underrated this by 18.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Saprissa

Attack97

Defence65

Form67

CS Herediano

Attack45

Defence90

Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%

Our model85.0%

The market78.1%

Edge: +6.9
Odds: 1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.2%Correct

Our model69.7%

The market51.5%

Edge: +18.2
Odds: 1.94

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Saprissa (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Correct

Our model64.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +6.9
Odds: 1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.4%Correct

Our model62.0%

The market55.6%

Edge: +6.4
Odds: 1.80

Match Winner

Deportivo Saprissa Win

Edge +2.1%Correct

Our model57.7%

The market55.6%

Edge: +2.1
Odds: 1.80

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%

Our model9.2%

The market8.0%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 12.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2% · actual

2-0

8.4%

3-1

8.0%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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