Primera División badgePrimera División · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Saprissa badgeDeportivo SaprissavsMunicipal Liberia badgeMunicipal Liberia

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.4%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+9.0 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +9.0%
Our model74.4%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Saprissa badge

Deportivo Saprissa

Attack97
Defence60
Form67
Municipal Liberia badge

Municipal Liberia

Attack58
Defence60
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Close
Our model74.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model66.3%
The market57.8%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Deportivo Saprissa Win

Edge +15.1%Correct
Our model65.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Saprissa (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.7%
The market7.5%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
13.27

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

3-1

7.5%

2-0

6.2% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.