Deportivo Saprissavs
Municipal Liberia
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 74.4%
- Market said
- 65.4%
- Edge
- +9.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.53
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53
The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Deportivo Saprissa
Municipal Liberia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 1.14
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.0
- Odds
- 1.53
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.5
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Deportivo Saprissa Win
- Edge
- +15.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Deportivo Saprissa (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 13.27
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
2-0
6.2% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.