Primera División badgePrimera División · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Deportivo Tachira FC badgeDeportivo Tachira FCvsMonagas SC badgeMonagas SC

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +2.2%
Our model57.8%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Deportivo Tachira FC badge

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack62
Defence68
Form71
Monagas SC badge

Monagas SC

Attack60
Defence53
Form37

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market89.3%
Edge
-17.2
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Tachira FC (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market54.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Deportivo Tachira FC Win

Correct
Our model49.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
-17.3
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

11.8%

1-2

7.8%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.