Championship · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Derbyvs
Cardiff
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 48.6%
- Edge
- +11.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 11.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Derby
Cardiff
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
No bookmaker price published for this market
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Derby (DNB)
No bookmaker price published for this market
Match Winner
Derby Win
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-3
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.80
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-3
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
1-4
6.4%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.