Championship · 9 September 2026AI PICK
Derbyvs
West Brom
0 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.1%
- Market said
- 50.6%
- Edge
- +11.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Derby
West Brom
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 1.42
Draw No Bet
West Brom (DNB)
- Edge
- +16.8
- Odds
- 1.88
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.69
Match Winner
West Brom Win
- Edge
- +10.5
- Odds
- 2.42
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.