UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 16 July 2026AI PICK

Derry City badgeDerry CityvsCSKA Sofia badgeCSKA Sofia

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
56.9%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +0.8%
Our model57.7%
The market56.9%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Derry City badge

Derry City

Attack44
Defence59
Form40
CSKA Sofia badge

CSKA Sofia

Attack67
Defence47
Form63

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market56.9%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

CSKA Sofia (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market52.7%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

CSKA Sofia Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Correct
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1% · actual

1-1

10.3%

2-1

6.8%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.