Premier Division badgePremier Division · 26 June 2026AI PICK

Derry City badgeDerry CityvsDrogheda United badgeDrogheda United

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.4%
Market said
53.2%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88

MediumEdge +2.2%
Our model55.4%
The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Derry City badge

Derry City

Attack42
Defence64
Form38
Drogheda United badge

Drogheda United

Attack49
Defence38
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market81.3%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market53.2%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.88

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model51.6%
The market55.9%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.79

Match Winner

Derry City Win

Correct
Our model48.7%
The market58.5%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
1.71

Draw No Bet

Derry City (DNB)

Correct
Our model38.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
-18.4
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8%

1-1

10.9%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.