Derry Cityvs
Drogheda United
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.4%
- Market said
- 53.2%
- Edge
- +2.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.88
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88
The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Derry City
Drogheda United
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.23
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 1.88
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.79
Match Winner
Derry City Win
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 1.71
Draw No Bet
Derry City (DNB)
- Edge
- -18.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.13
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.9%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.