UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 30 July 2026AI PICK

Derry City badgeDerry CityvsHNK Rijeka badgeHNK Rijeka

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+6.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +6.1%
Our model57.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Derry City badge

Derry City

Attack44
Defence56
Form31
HNK Rijeka badge

HNK Rijeka

Attack61
Defence100
Form83

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market82.0%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model57.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market52.4%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

HNK Rijeka (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

HNK Rijeka Win

Correct
Our model51.2%
The market61.7%
Edge
-10.5
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

7.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.