Premier Division badgePremier Division · 24 April 2026AI PICK

Derry City badgeDerry CityvsShamrock Rovers badgeShamrock Rovers

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.6%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+19.2 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +19.2%
Our model63.6%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 19.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Derry City badge

Derry City

Attack47
Defence47
Form33
Shamrock Rovers badge

Shamrock Rovers

Attack78
Defence91
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.2%Miss
Our model63.6%
The market44.4%
Edge
+19.2
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market51.3%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Derry City (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Derry City Win

Our model36.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.