Premier Division badgePremier Division · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Derry City badgeDerry CityvsShamrock Rovers badgeShamrock Rovers

3 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
48.6%
Edge
+12.7 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98

MediumEdge +12.7%
Our model61.3%
The market48.6%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Derry City badge

Derry City

Attack61
Defence43
Form38
Shamrock Rovers badge

Shamrock Rovers

Attack64
Defence48
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.0%Miss
Our model77.3%
The market76.3%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.7%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market48.6%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
1.98

Draw No Bet

Derry City (DNB)

Edge +6.4%Void
Our model55.9%
The market49.5%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market55.7%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.72

Match Winner

Derry City Win

Edge +5.3%Miss
Our model43.2%
The market37.9%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.64

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.0%
The market9.2%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.0%

1-1

10.1%

1-2

8.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.